MARKET REGIME SCORER

Answer 5 questions about current market conditions. Takes 5 minutes. Run every Sunday before scanning.

Where to find these numbers before scoring

VIX level finance.yahoo.com/quote/^VIX or TOS watchlist

SPY vs MA TOS chart — add 50-day and 200-day SMA overlays

QQQ vs MA Same as SPY — check daily chart in TOS

Market direction Was SPY up or down this week? By how much?

Sector strength Check your RS Tracker results first

0 of 5 answered

  1. What is VIX right now?

VIX measures fear in the market. Low VIX = calm conditions. High VIX = fear and wide swings.

Check: finance.yahoo.com/quote/^VIX or your TOS watchlist

  • Below 15 — calm market
  • 15–20 — normal conditions
  • 20–25 — elevated volatility
  • 25–30 — high fear
  • Above 30 — extreme fear
  1. Where is SPY relative to its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

The 200-day MA is the long-term trend line. The 50-day is medium term. Being above both is the healthiest market condition.

Check: SPY daily chart in TOS — add SMA 50 and SMA 200 overlays

  • Above both 50-day AND 200-day
  • Above 200-day, below 50-day
  • Below 50-day, near 200-day
  • Below both moving averages
  1. How did the broad market perform this week?

Recent momentum matters. A market that just had a strong week has different risk than one in a 3-week slide.

Check: SPY weekly % change in TOS or finance.yahoo.com

  • Up 1.5%+ — strong week
  • Up 0–1.5% — mild gain
  • Flat — less than ±0.5%
  • Down 0–1.5% — mild loss
  • Down 1.5%+ — weak week
  1. How broad is the rally — are most stocks participating?

A healthy bull market has most stocks moving up together. A fragile market is propped up by only a few large names.

Check: Compare RSP (equal-weight ETF) vs SPY in TOS. If RSP is outperforming SPY the rally is broad.

  • RSP outperforming SPY — broad rally
  • RSP roughly matching SPY
  • SPY up but RSP flat — narrow rally
  • SPY up, RSP down — very narrow
  1. Are at least 3 sectors showing positive RS vs SPY this week?

Sector leadership confirms the rally has depth. If only 1-2 sectors are leading the market is fragile.

Check your RS Tracker results from tonight — look at the sector column

  • 5+ sectors positive — strong breadth
  • 3–4 sectors positive — decent
  • 2 sectors positive — narrow
  • 1 or fewer sectors positive — weak

Total Score

Score Again Next Sunday

The regime scorer is a decision-support tool — not financial advice. Always apply your own judgment.